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UNITED BANKSHARES INC/WV (UBSI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered disciplined performance: net income $94.4M and diluted EPS $0.69; NIM held at 3.49% as deposit pricing moderated and average earning assets grew, offset by lower loan yields .
  • Credit quality remained sound but ticked up: NPAs/Assets rose to 0.25% and NPLs to $73.7M; annualized net charge-offs increased to 0.10% (still low) .
  • Management issued 2025 outlook with explicit ranges (NII $1.02–$1.05B; noninterest income $125–$135M; noninterest expense $600–$620M ex-merger; ETR ~20.5%; provision planning $33M plus ~$27M Day 2 CECL), and closed the Piedmont Bancorp deal on Jan 10, 2025 .
  • Estimates context: S&P Global consensus was unavailable; public sources indicated EPS near $0.69 and revenue near $262M, implying broadly in-line results .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Net interest income increased sequentially (+$2.4M QoQ) as deposit costs fell 26 bps and average earning assets expanded; management highlighted “strong earnings, credit, and capital” and regulatory approval for Atlanta acquisition: “UBSI capped off a successful 2024 with another high quality quarter” — CEO Richard M. Adams, Jr. .
  • Capital ratios well above “well-capitalized” thresholds (Total RBC 16.5%, CET1 14.2% at 12/31/24); tangible book per share improved to $22.87 .
  • Operating discipline: efficiency ratio improved YoY to ~51% in Q4; noninterest expense fell $18.1M YoY due to lower FDIC special assessment, reserve for unfunded commitments, and other expense .

What Went Wrong

  • Noninterest income declined $2.6M QoQ and $4.4M YoY, driven by the absence of MSR gains in Q4 and softer mortgage activity; Q4 also included $2.4M losses on AFS sales (partly offset by equity fair value gains) .
  • Asset quality metrics increased: NPLs rose to $73.4M and NPAs/Assets to 0.25%; annualized net charge-offs increased to 0.10% from 0.07% in Q3 .
  • Net interest margin compressed slightly to 3.49% from 3.52% QoQ, reflecting lower loan yields despite reduced deposit costs .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$255.9 = NII $225.7 + Noninterest $30.2 $262.2 = NII $230.3 + Noninterest $31.9 $261.9 = NII $232.6 + Noninterest $29.3
Net Income ($USD Millions)$96.5 $95.3 $94.4
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.71 $0.70 $0.69
Net Interest Margin (%)3.50% 3.52% 3.49%

Notes: Total Revenue computed as Net Interest Income (GAAP) + Total Noninterest Income (GAAP), per company tables .

Segment reporting: United operates one reportable segment beginning Q1 2024; mortgage banking data presented on a consolidated basis .

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Deposits (Period End, $MM)$23,066.4 $23,828.3 $23,961.9
Loans & Leases (Net of Unearned, Period End, $MM)$21,598.7 $21,622.0 $21,673.5
NPLs ($MM)$65.3 $65.2 $73.4
NPAs / Total Assets (%)0.23% 0.22% 0.25%
Allowance for Loan & Lease Losses / Loans (%)1.24% 1.25% 1.25%
Annualized Net Charge-offs (%)0.02% 0.07% 0.10%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest Income (non-FTE)FY 2025N/A for 2025; 2024 guidance was $900–$915M $1.02–$1.05B (assumes one 25 bps cut; includes ~$20M purchase accretion from Piedmont) Raised vs prior year run-rate (and boosted by Piedmont)
Noninterest IncomeFY 2025N/A for 2025$125–$135M Set new range
Noninterest Expense (ex-merger)FY 2025N/A for 2025$600–$620M; merger-related ~$15M Set new range
Effective Tax RateFY 2025N/A for 2025~20.5% Set new target
Provision Expense (Day 2 CECL separate)FY 2025N/A for 2025Planning assumption $33M; Day 2 CECL ~$27M Set new planning assumptions
Loans & Deposits GrowthFY 20252024: low-to-mid single digit growth expected Mid-single-digit growth expected (ex-Piedmont balances) Maintained directional growth outlook
Investment PortfolioFY 20252024: decrease ~$250M remainder of year Relatively flat; market dependent Maintained cautious stance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was not available despite targeted searches; themes below derive from the 8-K Exhibit 99.2 earnings presentation and press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Net interest margin and deposit pricingStable NIM expected; deposit growth low-to-mid single digits NIM rose to 3.52%; deposit rates up 10 bps; earning assets increased NIM 3.49%; deposit costs fell 26 bps; earning assets +$556M; loan yields slipped Stabilizing margin with improving funding costs
Mortgage banking and MSRsVISA gain; AFS sales loss; mortgage activity modest Sold remaining MSRs at $7.1M gain; higher securities losses No MSR gains; noninterest income down; AFS losses $2.4M partly offset by equity gains Post-MSR sale normalization; softer mortgage
Credit quality / Office CRESound asset qualitySound asset quality; NPLs up primarily from a C&I relationship; allowances 1.25% NPAs increased; NCOs annualized 0.10%; office CRE ~$1.0B with Top 40 WA LTV ~56% Normalization with prudent underwriting
M&A (Piedmont)Announced definitive merger agreement Expected close late Q4 or early Q1 Closed Jan 10, 2025; set 2025 outlook ranges including accretion and Day 2 CECL Integration underway; 2025 guidance anchored
Capital & buybacksNo repurchases in 1H24No repurchases Q3 No repurchases Q4; buybacks market-dependent in 2025 Optionality maintained

Management Commentary

  • “UBSI capped off a successful 2024 with another high quality quarter. Strong earnings, credit, and capital continue to be the story, and we also received regulatory approval of our acquisition in Atlanta.” — Richard M. Adams, Jr., CEO .
  • 2025 outlook provides explicit ranges for NII, noninterest income/expense, provision, and tax rate; capital “remains robust,” buybacks are “market dependent” .
  • Deposit franchise strength across Mid-Atlantic and Southeast (e.g., #1 regional bank in D.C. MSA with $10.1B deposits; #1/#2 share positions in top WV markets) highlights durable funding base .

Q&A Highlights

  • A full Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was not available via the document search. Key clarifications stem from the earnings presentation/8-K:
    • Funding costs and NIM: deposit repricing pressure eased in Q4; management expects stable-to-improving NII supported by deposit mix and modest rate cuts .
    • Credit normalization: Provision planning reflects a normalizing environment; Day 2 CECL for Piedmont estimated ~$27M .
    • Strategy and capital deployment: Buybacks remain tactical; focus on integrating Piedmont and sustaining robust regulatory capital .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus data was unavailable at time of analysis (service limit).
  • External public sources indicate: EPS expected ~$0.69 and revenue ~$262M for Q4 2024, implying broadly in-line results versus public estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core banking fundamentals resilient: stable NIM and sequentially higher NII as deposit costs fell; expect 2025 NII uplift aided by Piedmont accretion and modest rate cuts .
  • Credit normalization continues from low levels; watch NPAs/NPLs trajectory and office CRE exposures, but underwriting discipline (Top 40 office WA LTV ~56%) mitigates risk .
  • Fee income headwinds: post-MSR sale, mortgage revenue softer; 2025 noninterest income guided to $125–$135M—build positions assuming lower mortgage tailwinds .
  • Expense control remains a strength; 2025 noninterest expense guided $600–$620M ex-merger, efficiency ~low-50s plausible—supports EPS durability .
  • Capital optionality: CET1 14.2%, TBV/share rising; buybacks market-dependent—consider opportunistic capital return amid integration progress .
  • Integration catalyst: Atlanta (Piedmont) expands footprint and growth optionality; monitor Day 2 CECL ($~27M) and cost saves realization—near-term noise, medium-term accretive .
  • Near-term trading: Results broadly in-line with public expectations; stock reaction likely tied to 2025 outlook credibility, NIM trajectory, and credit prints rather than Q4 headline EPS .